How valuable is experience when producing films to beat the S&P 500?

As far as profitability, experience counts for nothing.

It is negatively correlated, with a score of -0.05 across the database.
Stephen Follows (2019, Sep 2) How valuable is experience when producing movies?

Producers may get better at producing movies, but the films' profitability as an alternative investment stays the same.

A producer’s earlier films need to be far better than average to get financed. An experienced producer might be able to get more out of a movie, but an inexperienced producer is likely to have a better film in the first place.

If you want the best of both worlds, it will make sense to invest (debt or equity) in a highly knowledgeable producer's earlier film or films. The producer should also have a sharp investment and business acumen. Many creative producers do not have this.

If you are smart enough to find this scarce producer and can access them, they can craft a highly advantageous deal for you in terms of low risk (up to 100% mitigated) and high reward that can outperform or even clobber the annual 8% from the S&P 500 (since 1957) by three times or better annually. Fourth Man Films fits this profile with high-end intellectual property for optimal returns for you, the investor.


(+1 correlated would mean as the experience goes up, so does the profitability -1 would mean the opposite. In conclusion, it does not matter if it is a first-time producer or a tenth-time producer in terms of profitability.)

To schedule a film investment consultation with Fourth Man Films, call 440.871.7330,  email or Click to Schedule

Investopedia (2021)
Stephen Follows (2019, Sep 2) How valuable is experience when producing movies?
Bruce Nash (2019, Sep 2) How valuable is experience when producing movies?
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